There are many ways to skin the technical analysis cat and two of them are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Williams %R.
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TAZ Trader then goes on to talk about his method that uses Williams %R. Apparently he prefers a three period Williams %R to the RSI(2).
So I wrote a couple of filters and here are my results -
The Trading Markets method output a 65% win ratio with a 105% ROI - this isn't bad.
The Williams %R(3) method output a 62% win ratio with a 150% ROI - this is just fine.
The RSI(2) method output a 72% win ratio with 162% ROI - that is excellent.
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I'm going to stay with the RSI(2) < 5 method as it seems to be better on the individual stock basis. But there is nothing wrong with using either the Williams %R or the Trading Markets methods if that's what you want to do.
Marlyn,
ReplyDeleteThere is other research on Trading Markets indicating best time to buy stocks is from about the 23 of month to the 1st of next month...I wonder how this RSi method would work if only applied during that time??
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Dave, over on Shark Trader keeps a loose eye on it so I didn't bother with it. I've used to see it posted daily in a post on Seeking Alpha but that guy hasn't been up for awhile so I don't know what happened to him.
I wouldn't try to build a system around day/week of the month - while in a macro sense and on paper it might work it would be hard to do in real-world - too many moving parts.
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